| With more doom and
gloom from the media and the pundits, the construction industry
cannot be blamed for being nervous. Market commentators expect a
10 to 15 percent drop in house prices this year with a further drop
of 10 percent next year, giving a 15 to 25 percent drop over a two
year period.
This is the real
correction the market should have been expecting for a long time.
It is however not a natural correction it is fuelled this time by
the 'credit crunch'. The market is without a doubt nearing the bottom
of the historical cycle and no one knows how much lower this will
go, however what we do know is that the only element stopping the
increase again is the availability of mortgages.
With the government
recently adding a little catalyst to attempt to get the upturn started
with No stamp duty below £175k and free 5 year loans of up
to 30% for first time buyers, this is welcomed by all (or should
be), this does not start the lending.
So how do we know
when the lending starts up again? as it is this that will announce
the recovery. Watch the mortgage brokers and see when their business
starts to increase and we will see the first indicators of an upturn.
Are you ready?
When this upturn happens, and it will as it has
always done, are you ready to capitalise on the opportunities that
will no doubt be there. The cash rich business' are already pouncing
on the deals getting as much as 30-40% of market value prices. As
a builder and construction company you need to be ready and at least
actually be arround when it happens. With many of the small builders
going into liquidation making sure you are lean and ready is vital.
Now is the time if you havnt done so already to
get those overheads down, be ruthless, remove the slack that always
creaps into a business during the good times. Do all the background
work that you never had time to do when you were busy and probably
the hardest one to do is start marketing. When the upturn comes
you want everyone to know you are ready and willing to start building. |